Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 19/10, 11:00
Prediction: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Eric Vanshelboim
Team pages: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes · Eric Vanshelboim
Prediction summary
Winner
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Eric Vanshelboim
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
5-5 (W-L)
Eric Vanshelboim
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes 1480 · Eric Vanshelboim 1526
| Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | Eric Vanshelboim | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eric Vanshelboim (rating 1480 vs 1526).
Statistics
| Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | Eric Vanshelboim | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.4 | 10.6-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 57.2% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Eero Vasa M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Alexander Chang M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/08 | Karl Poling M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/08 | Max Sheldon M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/08 | Tyler Bowers M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Noah Zamora M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Simon Caldwell M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Eric Vanshelboim
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Giuseppe La Vela M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 25/09 | Daniel Michalski M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Pietro Marino M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/09 | Valerio Bracci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Sebastiano Cocola M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Tymur Bieldiugin M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Eric Vanshelboim?
Our model gives 58% to Eric Vanshelboim, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.