Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 19/10, 07:10
Prediction: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Luca Castelnuovo
Team pages: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong · Luca Castelnuovo
Prediction summary
Winner
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Luca Castelnuovo
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
5-5 (W-L)
Luca Castelnuovo
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
0–2
Luca Castelnuovo
(2 last)
- 07 Jul0-2 9-13L
- 10 Feb0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 1526 · Luca Castelnuovo 1508
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | Luca Castelnuovo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 0–2 Luca Castelnuovo (2).
Statistics
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | Luca Castelnuovo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.7 | 12.9-12.7 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 10.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.4% | 79.6% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 36% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 0 – 2 Luca Castelnuovo (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 0–2 Luca Castelnuovo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/26 Challenger Nottingham | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/02/26 Challenger Chennai | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 17/09 | James Trotter Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Ye Hongyu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Takeru Yuzuki Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
Luca Castelnuovo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Egor Pleshivtsev Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/10 | Akira Santillan Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 22/09 | Pavel Kotov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 16/09 | Elias Ymer Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Ji Sung Nam Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Luca Castelnuovo?
Our model gives 53% to Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.