Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 19/10, 07:30
Prediction: Kasidit Samrej vs Yaroslav Demin
Team pages: Kasidit Samrej · Yaroslav Demin
Prediction summary
Winner
Kasidit Samrej
Yaroslav Demin
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Kasidit Samrej
5-5 (W-L)
Yaroslav Demin
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kasidit Samrej 1527 · Yaroslav Demin 1511
| Kasidit Samrej | Yaroslav Demin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kasidit Samrej makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Kasidit Samrej | Yaroslav Demin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.1 | 10.6-10.4 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 5 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 80.7% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 23% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kasidit Samrej
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Naoya Honda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 08/10 | Fajing Sun Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Coleman Wong Asian Games |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Pradip Khadka Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Yaroslav Demin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/10 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Filip Peliwo M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Akira Santillan Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Jack Loge M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Niklas Schell M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Yassine Smiej M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kasidit Samrej vs Yaroslav Demin?
Our model gives 53% to Kasidit Samrej, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.