Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 19/10, 06:00
Prediction: Saba Purtseladze vs Khumoyun Sultanov
Team pages: Saba Purtseladze · Khumoyun Sultanov
Prediction summary
Winner
Saba Purtseladze
Khumoyun Sultanov
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Saba Purtseladze
6-4 (W-L)
Khumoyun Sultanov
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Saba Purtseladze
1–2
Khumoyun Sultanov
(3 last)
- 21 Jul2-1 16-13W
- 15 Jul1-2 18-17L
- 04 Apr0-2 6-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Saba Purtseladze 1521 · Khumoyun Sultanov 1532
| Saba Purtseladze | Khumoyun Sultanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Saba Purtseladze dominates on serve: 7 aces and 55.4% break avg.
- Khumoyun Sultanov dominates on serve: 9.4 aces and 44.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Saba Purtseladze 1–2 Khumoyun Sultanov (3).
- Note: Saba Purtseladze makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Saba Purtseladze | Khumoyun Sultanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.7 | 11.8-9.8 |
| Aces | 7 | 9.4 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 76% | 76.2% |
| Break % | 55.4% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Saba Purtseladze 1 – 2 Khumoyun Sultanov (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Saba Purtseladze 1–2 Khumoyun Sultanov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/25 Challenger Segovia | 2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/07/25 Challenger Pozoblanco | 1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 04/04/24 M25 Sharm El Sheikh | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Saba Purtseladze
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Nicola Rispoli M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Nika Bidzinashvili M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Johan Nikles Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 11/08 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/08 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 09/08 | Richard Antoni Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Khumoyun Sultanov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Xiaoyin Yang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Coleman Wong Asian Games |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Chun Hsin Tseng Asian Games |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Fanming Meng Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Hunter Heck Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Joshua Charlton Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/08 | Fumin Jiang Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Saba Purtseladze vs Khumoyun Sultanov?
Our model gives 59% to Khumoyun Sultanov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.