Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 19/10, 06:00
Prediction: Dominik Palan vs Semen Pankin
Team pages: Dominik Palan · Semen Pankin
Prediction summary
Winner
Dominik Palan
Semen Pankin
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Dominik Palan
3-7 (W-L)
Semen Pankin
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dominik Palan
0–1
Semen Pankin
(1 last)
- 10 Aug0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dominik Palan 1426 · Semen Pankin 1442
| Dominik Palan | Semen Pankin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Dominik Palan dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 45.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Dominik Palan 0–1 Semen Pankin (1).
- Note: Dominik Palan makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Dominik Palan | Semen Pankin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-13.3 | 8.8-11.5 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 22.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Dominik Palan 0 – 1 Semen Pankin (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dominik Palan 0–1 Semen Pankin
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/26 Challenger Astana | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dominik Palan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Arthur Weber Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/10 | Sergey Fomin M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Terence Atmane Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Ji Sung Nam Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/08 | Semen Pankin Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Semen Pankin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Xi Cheng Huang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Alex Bolt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Sheng Tang M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Yaojie Zeng M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Elias Ymer Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Dimitar Kisimov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dominik Palan vs Semen Pankin?
Our model gives 56% to Semen Pankin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.