Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 19/10, 07:10
Prediction: Max Purcell vs Evan Zhu
Team pages: Max Purcell · Evan Zhu
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Purcell
Evan Zhu
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Max Purcell
8-2 (W-L)
Evan Zhu
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Purcell 1592 · Evan Zhu 1568
| Max Purcell | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Max Purcell | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.4 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.3 | 12.2-10.1 |
| Aces | 8.6 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 79.2% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 38% | 55.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Purcell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/10 | Julien De Cuyper Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/10 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Zhao Zhao M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/09 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Blake Ellis Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Yaojie Zeng Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Egor Pleshivtsev M25 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Alex Bolt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Zhiheng Xia Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/09 | Henry Searle Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/09 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Aleksi Lofman Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Purcell vs Evan Zhu?
Our model gives 63% to Max Purcell, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.