Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 19/10, 06:00
Prediction: Omar Jasika vs Koki Matsuda
Team pages: Omar Jasika · Koki Matsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Omar Jasika
Koki Matsuda
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Omar Jasika
6-4 (W-L)
Koki Matsuda
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Omar Jasika
1–0
Koki Matsuda
(1 last)
- 12 Jul2-1 16-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Omar Jasika 1559 · Koki Matsuda 1474
| Omar Jasika | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Omar Jasika (rating 1559 vs 1474).
- Head-to-head: Omar Jasika 1–0 Koki Matsuda (1).
Statistics
| Omar Jasika | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.7 | 11.1-13.5 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 7.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 69% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 24.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Omar Jasika 1 – 0 Koki Matsuda (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Omar Jasika 1–0 Koki Matsuda
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/26 M15 Tokyo | 2-1 | 16-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Omar Jasika
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Liam Draxl Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 11/10 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/09 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 29/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Chase Ferguson Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Alex Bolt ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Koki Matsuda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Evan Zhu Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Arthur Weber Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Jake Delaney Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 31/08 | Fanming Meng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 30/08 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Omar Jasika vs Koki Matsuda?
Our model gives 68% to Omar Jasika, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.