Tennis · WTA Wuhan · 18/10, 12:30
Prediction: Maja Chwalinska vs Sonay Kartal
Team pages: Maja Chwalinska · Sonay Kartal
Prediction summary
Winner
Maja Chwalinska
Sonay Kartal
Estimated games
20.4Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maja Chwalinska
8-2 (W-L)
Sonay Kartal
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maja Chwalinska 1594 · Sonay Kartal 1610
| Maja Chwalinska | Sonay Kartal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maja Chwalinska | Sonay Kartal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-7.1 | 12.5-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 62.9% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4 · Bet365 line 21.5 · -1.1
Over 21.5: 42% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 58% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maja Chwalinska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Iga Swiatek WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Maria Sakkari WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/10 | Iva Jovic WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Mayar Sherif WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Elise Mertens WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/09 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Sonay Kartal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/10 | Elina Svitolina WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/10 | Jasmine Paolini WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/10 | Belinda Bencic WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 12/10 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/10 | Alina Charaeva WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Xinyu Wang WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Marie Bouzkova Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 10/03 | Madison Keys WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maja Chwalinska vs Sonay Kartal?
Our model gives 51% to Sonay Kartal, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.