Prediction: Maja Chwalinska vs Maria Sakkari
Team pages: Maja Chwalinska · Maria Sakkari
Prediction summary
Winner
Maja Chwalinska
Maria Sakkari
Estimated games
20.6Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maja Chwalinska
7-3 (W-L)
Maria Sakkari
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maja Chwalinska
1–1
Maria Sakkari
(2 last)
- 30 May2-1 13-11W
- 06 May1-2 10-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maja Chwalinska 1535 · Maria Sakkari 1561
| Maja Chwalinska | Maria Sakkari | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maja Chwalinska | Maria Sakkari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-8.1 | 12.4-9.2 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 66.6% | 47.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6 · Bet365 line 21.5 · -0.9
Over 21.5: 44% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 56% · 1.80
H2H · Maja Chwalinska 1 – 1 Maria Sakkari (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maja Chwalinska 1–1 Maria Sakkari
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 French Open Women | 2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 06/05/25 WTA Rome | 1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maja Chwalinska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Iva Jovic WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Mayar Sherif WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Elise Mertens WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/09 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Taylor Townsend US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Maria Sakkari
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Mia Pohankova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/10 | Donna Vekic WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Elina Svitolina WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Storm Hunter WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Talia Gibson WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Nao Hibino WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Yulia Starodubtsewa US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Robin Montgomery US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maja Chwalinska vs Maria Sakkari?
Our model gives 55% to Maria Sakkari, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.