Prediction: Elina Svitolina vs Sonay Kartal
Team pages: Elina Svitolina · Sonay Kartal
Prediction summary
Winner
Elina Svitolina
Sonay Kartal
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Elina Svitolina
6-4 (W-L)
Sonay Kartal
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elina Svitolina
2–0
Sonay Kartal
(2 last)
- 09 Jan2-1 19-17W
- 25 Apr2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elina Svitolina 1550 · Sonay Kartal 1575
| Elina Svitolina | Sonay Kartal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Elina Svitolina 2–0 Sonay Kartal (2).
Statistics
| Elina Svitolina | Sonay Kartal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.4 | 12.5-8.6 |
| Aces | 4 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 58.7% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1
Over 21.5: 57% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 43% · 1.83
H2H · Elina Svitolina 2 – 0 Sonay Kartal (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elina Svitolina 2–0 Sonay Kartal
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/26 WTA Auckland | 2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 25/04/25 WTA Madrid | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elina Svitolina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Hanyu Guo WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 09/10 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Ann Li WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Maria Sakkari WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/10 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 27/09 | Linda Noskova Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Jasmine Paolini Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Greet Minnen Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 05/09 | Anna Kalinskaya US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Sonay Kartal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Jasmine Paolini WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/10 | Belinda Bencic WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 12/10 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/10 | Alina Charaeva WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Xinyu Wang WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Marie Bouzkova Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 10/03 | Madison Keys WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/03 | Emma Navarro WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/03 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elina Svitolina vs Sonay Kartal?
Our model gives 56% to Elina Svitolina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.