Tennis · WTA Wuhan · 17/10, 12:30
Prediction: Iga Swiatek vs Maja Chwalinska
Team pages: Iga Swiatek · Maja Chwalinska
Prediction summary
Winner
Iga Swiatek
Maja Chwalinska
Estimated games
20Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Iga Swiatek
7-3 (W-L)
Maja Chwalinska
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Iga Swiatek
1–0
Maja Chwalinska
(1 last)
- 03 Nov2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Iga Swiatek 1595 · Maja Chwalinska 1562
| Iga Swiatek | Maja Chwalinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Iga Swiatek 1–0 Maja Chwalinska (1).
Statistics
| Iga Swiatek | Maja Chwalinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-7.9 | 11-7.7 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 63% |
| Break % | 44.1% | 59.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +1.5
Over 18.5: 60% · 1.83
Under 18.5: 40% · 1.83
H2H · Iga Swiatek 1 – 0 Maja Chwalinska (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Iga Swiatek 1–0 Maja Chwalinska
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/16 ITF Women Stockholm | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Iga Swiatek
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Ann Li WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Magdalena Frech WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/10 | Elise Mertens WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Iva Jovic WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/10 | Donna Vekic WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 03/10 | Xinyu Gao WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Qinwen Zheng US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Marie Bouzkova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Nadia Podoroska US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Maja Chwalinska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Maria Sakkari WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/10 | Iva Jovic WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Mayar Sherif WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Elise Mertens WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/09 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Taylor Townsend US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Iga Swiatek vs Maja Chwalinska?
Our model gives 70% to Iga Swiatek, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.