Prediction: Ann Li vs Iga Swiatek
Team pages: Ann Li · Iga Swiatek
Prediction summary
Winner
Ann Li
Iga Swiatek
Estimated games
21.2Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ann Li
5-5 (W-L)
Iga Swiatek
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ann Li 1560 · Iga Swiatek 1583
| Ann Li | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Ann Li dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 41.1% break avg.
- Note: Ann Li makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Ann Li | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.7 | 12-7.9 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 68% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +1.7
Over 19.5: 62% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 38% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ann Li
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Janice Tjen WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 07/10 | Elina Svitolina WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Belinda Bencic WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/10 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Linda Noskova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Donna Vekic US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 31/08 | Antonia Ruzic US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Diane Parry WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Iga Swiatek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Magdalena Frech WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/10 | Elise Mertens WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Iva Jovic WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/10 | Donna Vekic WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 03/10 | Xinyu Gao WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Qinwen Zheng US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Marie Bouzkova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Nadia Podoroska US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Xiyu Wang US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ann Li vs Iga Swiatek?
Our model gives 67% to Iga Swiatek, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.