Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 20/10, 04:00
Prediction: Hayato Matsuoka vs Yibing Wu
Team pages: Hayato Matsuoka · Yibing Wu
Prediction summary
Winner
Hayato Matsuoka
Yibing Wu
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Hayato Matsuoka
6-4 (W-L)
Yibing Wu
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hayato Matsuoka
0–1
Yibing Wu
(1 last)
- 02 Oct0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hayato Matsuoka 1502 · Yibing Wu 1506
| Hayato Matsuoka | Yibing Wu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Hayato Matsuoka 0–1 Yibing Wu (1).
Statistics
| Hayato Matsuoka | Yibing Wu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.7 | 11.5-11.2 |
| Aces | 5 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
H2H · Hayato Matsuoka 0 – 1 Yibing Wu (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hayato Matsuoka 0–1 Yibing Wu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/26 Asian Games | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hayato Matsuoka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/10 | James McCabe Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/10 | Qian Sun Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/10 | Yibing Wu Asian Games |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Alexander Shevchenko Asian Games |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Kairan Thompson Asian Games |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Taro Daniel ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Arthur Weber ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/09 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 07/09 | Jake Delaney Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
Yibing Wu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Alexander Zverev ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Michael Zheng ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/10 | Coleman Wong Asian Games |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Hayato Matsuoka Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Sumit Nagal Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 03/09 | James Duckworth US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Adam Walton US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 20-13 | W |
| 23/08 | Francisco Comesana ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hayato Matsuoka vs Yibing Wu?
Our model gives 64% to Yibing Wu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.