Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 20/10, 04:00
Prediction: Sergey Fomin vs Tristan Schoolkate
Team pages: Sergey Fomin · Tristan Schoolkate
Prediction summary
Winner
Sergey Fomin
Tristan Schoolkate
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Sergey Fomin
5-5 (W-L)
Tristan Schoolkate
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergey Fomin 1435 · Tristan Schoolkate 1470
| Sergey Fomin | Tristan Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sergey Fomin | Tristan Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (6) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.7 | 13.1-12.5 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 8.9 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 79.4% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 38.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergey Fomin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Martin Borisiouk M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Yusuke Takahashi M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Matthew Shearer M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Dominik Palan M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/10 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Yi Zhou Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Xirui Han M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 15/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Tristan Schoolkate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Dane Sweeny ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Harold Mayot Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Philip Henning Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 19/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/09 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 16/09 | Marek Gengel Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Flavio Cobolli US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 18-22 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergey Fomin vs Tristan Schoolkate?
Our model gives 68% to Tristan Schoolkate, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.