Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 20/10, 04:00
Prediction: Fajing Sun vs Qian Sun
Team pages: Fajing Sun · Qian Sun
Prediction summary
Winner
Fajing Sun
Qian Sun
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Fajing Sun
4-6 (W-L)
Qian Sun
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fajing Sun 1487 · Qian Sun 1490
| Fajing Sun | Qian Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Qian Sun dominates on serve: 6 aces and 47% break avg.
- Note: Qian Sun makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Fajing Sun | Qian Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-13.2 | 12.9-12.9 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 6 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 28% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fajing Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 24/09 | Roman Safiullin ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Bernard Tomic ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Matthew Dellavedova ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/09 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 08/09 | Jie Cui Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Qian Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 17/09 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Guiyang |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Lachlan Vickery M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Colin Sinclair M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/09 | Miles Jones M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Fumin Jiang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fajing Sun vs Qian Sun?
Our model gives 68% to Fajing Sun, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.