Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 20/10, 04:00
Prediction: Zhizhen Zhang vs Kaichi Uchida
Team pages: Zhizhen Zhang · Kaichi Uchida
Prediction summary
Winner
Zhizhen Zhang
Kaichi Uchida
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Zhizhen Zhang
3-7 (W-L)
Kaichi Uchida
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zhizhen Zhang 1419 · Kaichi Uchida 1428
| Zhizhen Zhang | Kaichi Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Zhizhen Zhang | Kaichi Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 14% (7) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-13.6 | 9-12.4 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 32.8% | 31.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zhizhen Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Tomas Machac ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Arthur Gea ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Coleman Wong ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 22/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Justin Boulais Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Henry Searle Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 18/06 | Roman Safiullin Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Kaichi Uchida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Federico Cina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Linang Xiao Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zhizhen Zhang vs Kaichi Uchida?
Our model gives 67% to Zhizhen Zhang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.