Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 20/10, 04:00
Prediction: James McCabe vs Elias Ymer
Team pages: James McCabe · Elias Ymer
Prediction summary
Winner
James McCabe
Elias Ymer
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
James McCabe
2-8 (W-L)
Elias Ymer
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
James McCabe
1–0
Elias Ymer
(1 last)
- 22 Nov2-1 17-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James McCabe 1397 · Elias Ymer 1442
| James McCabe | Elias Ymer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elias Ymer (rating 1397 vs 1442).
- Head-to-head: James McCabe 1–0 Elias Ymer (1).
Statistics
| James McCabe | Elias Ymer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 13% (8) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.8 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-13.8 | 11.9-13.3 |
| Aces | 6 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 20.9% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
H2H · James McCabe 1 – 0 Elias Ymer (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · James McCabe 1–0 Elias Ymer
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/24 Challenger Yokohama | 2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James McCabe
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Federico Cina Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Lukas Neumayer US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Noah Zamora M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/07 | Alex Bolt ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Jason Jung Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Elias Ymer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 02/10 | Federico Cina Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Alexis Galarneau ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/09 | Semen Pankin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 08/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Cristian Garin US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Franco Roncadelli US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James McCabe vs Elias Ymer?
Our model gives 57% to Elias Ymer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.