Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 18/10, 09:30
Prediction: Yaroslav Demin vs Alexandr Binda
Team pages: Yaroslav Demin · Alexandr Binda
Prediction summary
Winner
Yaroslav Demin
Alexandr Binda
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Yaroslav Demin
5-5 (W-L)
Alexandr Binda
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yaroslav Demin 1504 · Alexandr Binda 1533
| Yaroslav Demin | Alexandr Binda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Yaroslav Demin | Alexandr Binda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.7 | 12-11.6 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 71.9% |
| Break % | 44% | 34.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yaroslav Demin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Filip Peliwo M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Akira Santillan Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Jack Loge M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Niklas Schell M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Yassine Smiej M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Alexandr Binda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Adam Walton Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Yinchuan |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 25/09 | Jesse Flores M25 Yinchuan |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Fajing Sun Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 15/09 | Aoran Wang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Kousuke Ogura Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yaroslav Demin vs Alexandr Binda?
Our model gives 52% to Alexandr Binda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.