Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 18/10, 06:30
Prediction: Omar Jasika vs Hiroki Moriya
Team pages: Omar Jasika · Hiroki Moriya
Prediction summary
Winner
Omar Jasika
Hiroki Moriya
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Omar Jasika
5-5 (W-L)
Hiroki Moriya
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Omar Jasika
1–2
Hiroki Moriya
(3 last)
- 29 Sept2-0 12-8W
- 07 Mar1-2 14-15L
- 01 Mar0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Omar Jasika 1536 · Hiroki Moriya 1502
| Omar Jasika | Hiroki Moriya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Omar Jasika 1–2 Hiroki Moriya (3).
Statistics
| Omar Jasika | Hiroki Moriya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.4 | 12.1-11.2 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 44.1% | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Omar Jasika 1 – 2 Hiroki Moriya (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Omar Jasika 1–2 Hiroki Moriya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/26 Challenger Jingshan | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/03/26 M25 Launceston | 1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 01/03/24 ITF M25 Traralgon | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Omar Jasika
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Liam Draxl Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 11/10 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/09 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 29/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Chase Ferguson Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Alex Bolt ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Hiroki Moriya
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Jilong Huang Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Blake Ellis Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 09/09 | Maximus Jones Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Dominik Palan Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/08 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Omar Jasika vs Hiroki Moriya?
Our model gives 60% to Omar Jasika, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.