Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 18/10, 06:30
Prediction: Masamichi Imamura vs Saba Purtseladze
Team pages: Masamichi Imamura · Saba Purtseladze
Prediction summary
Winner
Masamichi Imamura
Saba Purtseladze
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Masamichi Imamura
2-8 (W-L)
Saba Purtseladze
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Masamichi Imamura 1428 · Saba Purtseladze 1516
| Masamichi Imamura | Saba Purtseladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Saba Purtseladze (rating 1428 vs 1516).
- Note: Saba Purtseladze makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Masamichi Imamura | Saba Purtseladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-10.4 | 11.3-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 30.6% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Masamichi Imamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Rio Noguchi ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Sapporo |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 22/08 | Yu Hsiou Hsu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Hyeon Chung M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Noritaka Koizumi M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/08 | Shinji Hazawa M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Saba Purtseladze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Nicola Rispoli M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Nika Bidzinashvili M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Johan Nikles Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 11/08 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/08 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 09/08 | Richard Antoni Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Toufik Sahtali Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Masamichi Imamura vs Saba Purtseladze?
Our model gives 51% to Saba Purtseladze, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.