Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 18/10, 08:00
Prediction: Yaojie Zeng vs Evan Zhu
Team pages: Yaojie Zeng · Evan Zhu
Prediction summary
Winner
Yaojie Zeng
Evan Zhu
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Yaojie Zeng
2-8 (W-L)
Evan Zhu
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yaojie Zeng 1490 · Evan Zhu 1529
| Yaojie Zeng | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Yaojie Zeng | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.9 | 12.1-10.8 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 37.6% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yaojie Zeng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Cruz Hewitt M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Xirui Han M25 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 09/10 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Xirui Han M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/10 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Michael Zheng Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Semen Pankin M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Akira Santillan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Aoran Wang Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Egor Pleshivtsev M25 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Alex Bolt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Zhiheng Xia Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/09 | Henry Searle Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/09 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Aleksi Lofman Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Michael Zheng Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yaojie Zeng vs Evan Zhu?
Our model gives 67% to Evan Zhu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.