Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 18/10, 05:00
Prediction: Arthur Weber vs Dominik Palan
Team pages: Arthur Weber · Dominik Palan
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Weber
Dominik Palan
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Weber
6-4 (W-L)
Dominik Palan
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Arthur Weber
0–1
Dominik Palan
(1 last)
- 05 Feb0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Weber 1488 · Dominik Palan 1401
| Arthur Weber | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arthur Weber (rating 1488 vs 1401).
- Arthur Weber is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Arthur Weber 0–1 Dominik Palan (1).
- Note: Dominik Palan makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Arthur Weber | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 0.4-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10 | 8.7-12.9 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 40% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Arthur Weber 0 – 1 Dominik Palan (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arthur Weber 0–1 Dominik Palan
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/24 Challenger Chennai | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Weber
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 15/10 | Isaac Becroft M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Yuta Kikuchi M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Yanki Erel Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Hayato Matsuoka ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/09 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Dominik Palan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Sergey Fomin M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Terence Atmane Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Ji Sung Nam Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/08 | Semen Pankin Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Weber vs Dominik Palan?
Our model gives 70% to Arthur Weber, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.