Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 15/10, 11:30
Prediction: Alexander Weis vs Lorenzo Berto
Team pages: Alexander Weis · Lorenzo Berto
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Weis
Lorenzo Berto
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Weis
8-2 (W-L)
Lorenzo Berto
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Weis 1591 · Lorenzo Berto 1536
| Alexander Weis | Lorenzo Berto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Weis (rating 1591 vs 1536).
- Note: Lorenzo Berto makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Weis | Lorenzo Berto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.2 | 10.5-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Weis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Giuseppe La Vela M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 13/10 | Jadon Price M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/10 | Daniel Michalski M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/10 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 09/10 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/10 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/10 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 16/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Lorenzo Berto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Daniele Rapagnetta M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/10 | Arthur Bellegy M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/10 | Manuel Mazza M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 20/09 | Lorenzo Bocchi Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 04/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Weis vs Lorenzo Berto?
Our model gives 71% to Alexander Weis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.