Prediction: Ashlyn Krueger vs Iga Swiatek
Team pages: Ashlyn Krueger · Iga Swiatek
Prediction summary
Winner
Ashlyn Krueger
Iga Swiatek
Estimated games
20.2Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ashlyn Krueger
4-6 (W-L)
Iga Swiatek
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ashlyn Krueger 1509 · Iga Swiatek 1573
| Ashlyn Krueger | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 15% | 85% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Iga Swiatek (rating 1509 vs 1573).
- Note: Ashlyn Krueger makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Ashlyn Krueger | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-9.1 | 12.3-9.1 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +1.7
Over 18.5: 62% · 1.90
Under 18.5: 38% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ashlyn Krueger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Shuai Zhang WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Taylah Preston WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/10 | Ann Li WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Sofia Kenin WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Amanda Anisimova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Julia Grabher WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Anna Frey WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Lois Boisson WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Iga Swiatek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Magdalena Frech WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/10 | Elise Mertens WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Iva Jovic WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/10 | Donna Vekic WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 03/10 | Xinyu Gao WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Qinwen Zheng US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Marie Bouzkova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Nadia Podoroska US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Xiyu Wang US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ashlyn Krueger vs Iga Swiatek?
Our model gives 74% to Iga Swiatek, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.