Prediction: Ann Li vs Janice Tjen
Team pages: Ann Li · Janice Tjen
Prediction summary
Winner
Ann Li
Janice Tjen
Estimated games
21.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ann Li
5-5 (W-L)
Janice Tjen
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ann Li 1555 · Janice Tjen 1508
| Ann Li | Janice Tjen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ann Li (rating 1555 vs 1508).
- Ann Li dominates on serve: 6 aces and 42.8% break avg.
- Note: Ann Li makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Ann Li | Janice Tjen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.3 | 10.2-11.3 |
| Aces | 6 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -0.9
Over 22.5: 43% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 57% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ann Li
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 07/10 | Elina Svitolina WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Belinda Bencic WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/10 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Linda Noskova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Donna Vekic US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 31/08 | Antonia Ruzic US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Diane Parry WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Janice Tjen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Daria Snigur WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/10 | Aoi Ito WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/10 | Diana Shnaider WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 16/09 | Sloane Stephens WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/09 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Mirra Andreeva US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ann Li vs Janice Tjen?
Our model gives 58% to Ann Li, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.