Prediction: Karolina Muchova vs Diana Shnaider
Team pages: Karolina Muchova · Diana Shnaider
Prediction summary
Winner
Karolina Muchova
Diana Shnaider
Estimated games
21.1Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Karolina Muchova
6-4 (W-L)
Diana Shnaider
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Karolina Muchova
0–1
Diana Shnaider
(1 last)
- 15 Oct1-2 9-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karolina Muchova 1571 · Diana Shnaider 1569
| Karolina Muchova | Diana Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Karolina Muchova 0–1 Diana Shnaider (1).
Statistics
| Karolina Muchova | Diana Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.7 | 12-8.3 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 56.6% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 47% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 53% · 1.83
H2H · Karolina Muchova 0 – 1 Diana Shnaider (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Karolina Muchova 0–1 Diana Shnaider
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/25 WTA Ningbo | 1-2 | 9-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karolina Muchova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Caty McNally WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 08/10 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Naomi Osaka WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 04/10 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/10 | Katie Boulter WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Anhelina Kalinina Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Emma Navarro US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Katie Boulter US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 31/08 | Sinja Kraus US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Diana Shnaider
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Katie Boulter WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 02/10 | Janice Tjen WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Taylor Townsend US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Karolina Pliskova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Daria Snigur US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karolina Muchova vs Diana Shnaider?
Our model gives 52% to Karolina Muchova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.