Prediction: Iva Jovic vs Maja Chwalinska
Team pages: Iva Jovic · Maja Chwalinska
Prediction summary
Winner
Iva Jovic
Maja Chwalinska
Estimated games
20.2Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Iva Jovic
7-3 (W-L)
Maja Chwalinska
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Iva Jovic 1601 · Maja Chwalinska 1514
| Iva Jovic | Maja Chwalinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Iva Jovic (rating 1601 vs 1514).
- Iva Jovic is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Iva Jovic | Maja Chwalinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-8.7 | 10-8.9 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 63.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +0.7
Over 19.5: 55% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 45% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Iva Jovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Iga Swiatek WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Harriet Dart WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Peyton Stearns WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Magdalena Frech WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Coco Gauff US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Alexandra Eala US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Maja Chwalinska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Mayar Sherif WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Elise Mertens WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/09 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Taylor Townsend US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Iva Jovic vs Maja Chwalinska?
Our model gives 68% to Iva Jovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.