Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 14/10, 10:30
Prediction: Gabriele Crivellaro vs Jonas Forejtek
Team pages: Gabriele Crivellaro · Jonas Forejtek
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Crivellaro
Jonas Forejtek
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Crivellaro
4-6 (W-L)
Jonas Forejtek
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Crivellaro 1518 · Jonas Forejtek 1589
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Jonas Forejtek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jonas Forejtek (rating 1518 vs 1589).
- Jonas Forejtek is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Jonas Forejtek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.3 | 13.8-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 35.6% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Crivellaro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Ivan Ivanov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 09/10 | Alexander Weis M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Dimitar Kisimov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/09 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Daniele Minighini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Manuel Mazza M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Jonas Forejtek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Michele Mecarelli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/10 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 10/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 09/10 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 07/10 | Martin Krumich Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/09 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Felix Gill Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Crivellaro vs Jonas Forejtek?
Our model gives 75% to Jonas Forejtek, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.