Prediction: Mia Pohankova vs Maria Sakkari
Team pages: Mia Pohankova · Maria Sakkari
Prediction summary
Winner
Mia Pohankova
Maria Sakkari
Estimated games
21.6Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mia Pohankova
7-3 (W-L)
Maria Sakkari
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mia Pohankova 1603 · Maria Sakkari 1535
| Mia Pohankova | Maria Sakkari | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mia Pohankova (rating 1603 vs 1535).
Statistics
| Mia Pohankova | Maria Sakkari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-9.3 | 12-10.3 |
| Aces | 4 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 60.5% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 51% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 49% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mia Pohankova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Xiyu Wang WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 12/10 | Anna Bondar WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/09 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 25/09 | Katie Swan WTA Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 24/09 | Veronika Podrez WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Francisca Jorge WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/09 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 18/09 | Kylie Collins WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/09 | Matilde Jorge WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Sinja Kraus WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Maria Sakkari
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/10 | Donna Vekic WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Elina Svitolina WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Storm Hunter WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Talia Gibson WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Nao Hibino WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Yulia Starodubtsewa US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Robin Montgomery US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mia Pohankova vs Maria Sakkari?
Our model gives 54% to Maria Sakkari, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.