Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 14/10, 10:30
Prediction: Giuseppe La Vela vs Alexander Weis
Team pages: Giuseppe La Vela · Alexander Weis
Prediction summary
Winner
Giuseppe La Vela
Alexander Weis
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Giuseppe La Vela
5-5 (W-L)
Alexander Weis
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Giuseppe La Vela
0–5
Alexander Weis
(5 last)
- 06 Mar0-2 9-13L
- 20 Feb0-2 6-12L
- 15 Nov0-2 6-12L
- 03 May0-2 7-13L
- 16 Aug0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giuseppe La Vela 1515 · Alexander Weis 1599
| Giuseppe La Vela | Alexander Weis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Weis (rating 1515 vs 1599).
- Alexander Weis is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Giuseppe La Vela 0–5 Alexander Weis (5).
Statistics
| Giuseppe La Vela | Alexander Weis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11.8 | 11.6-9.2 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 37.4% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Giuseppe La Vela 0 – 5 Alexander Weis (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Giuseppe La Vela 0–5 Alexander Weis
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/25 M15 Antalya | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/02/25 M15 Antalya | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/11/24 ITF M15 San Gregorio di Catania | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/05/24 M25 Santa Margherita | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/08/23 M25 Muttenz | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giuseppe La Vela
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 04/10 | Kalin Ivanovski Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/09 | John Sperle Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Jay Clarke Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 13/09 | Stefano D'Agostino Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 06/09 | Alessio Vigoriti Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Alexander Weis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Jadon Price M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/10 | Daniel Michalski M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/10 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 09/10 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/10 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/10 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 16/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Filippo Mazzola M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giuseppe La Vela vs Alexander Weis?
Our model gives 63% to Alexander Weis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.