Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 14/10, 10:00

Prediction: Branko Djuric vs Johan Nikles

Team pages: Branko Djuric · Johan Nikles

Prediction summary
Winner
62% 38%
Branko Djuric Johan Nikles
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Branko Djuric 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLWLLWLL
Johan Nikles 7-3 (W-L)
WLLWWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Branko Djuric 1630 · Johan Nikles 1556
Branko DjuricJohan Nikles
Our model60%40%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Branko Djuric (rating 1630 vs 1556).

Statistics

Branko DjuricJohan Nikles
Win %90%70%
Win % · Clay 100% (7) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.71.5-0.7
Games (G-P)13.3-910.8-8
Aces5.41.2
Double faults3.52.2
1st serve %75.5%61.8%
Break %43.7%47.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Branko Djuric

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Linus Lagerbohm
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-1 14-10 W
26/09 Robert Strombachs
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
25/09 Chirag Duhan
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
23/09 Alexander Gammariello
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 11-12 W
06/09 Dmitry Popko
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 18-13 W
05/09 Nikita Belozertsev
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
04/09 Antoni Fabre
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 18-15 W
03/09 Alessandro Bellifemine
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
02/09 Maxim Khorozov
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
30/08 Dmitry Popko
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 18-12 W

Johan Nikles

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Kirill Kivattsev
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
07/10 Miguel Damas
Challenger Braga · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
05/10 Vladyslav Orlov
Challenger Braga · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
04/10 Martim Bernardo
Challenger Braga · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
15/09 Laslo Djere
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
1-2 10-18 L
14/09 Matyas Cerny
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
13/09 Saba Purtseladze
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
05/09 Matej Dodig
Challenger Como · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
04/09 Andrej Nedic
Challenger Como · Clay
2-1 16-9 W
03/09 Filip Cristian Jianu
Challenger Como · Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Branko Djuric vs Johan Nikles?

Our model gives 62% to Branko Djuric, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.