Prediction: Katie Volynets vs Hanyu Guo
Team pages: Katie Volynets · Hanyu Guo
Prediction summary
Winner
Katie Volynets
Hanyu Guo
Estimated games
23Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Katie Volynets
6-4 (W-L)
Hanyu Guo
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katie Volynets 1576 · Hanyu Guo 1467
| Katie Volynets | Hanyu Guo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katie Volynets (rating 1576 vs 1467).
- Katie Volynets is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Hanyu Guo makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Katie Volynets | Hanyu Guo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-10.1 | 12.3-13.2 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 44.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +3.5
Over 19.5: 73% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 27% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katie Volynets
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 11/10 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/10 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/10 | Elise Mertens WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Robin Montgomery WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 26/09 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/09 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/08 | Linda Noskova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/08 | Tereza Valentova WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Hanyu Guo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 06/10 | Aliona Falei WTA Suzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Yue Yuan US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Kayla Day WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Xiyu Wang Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Maddison Inglis WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/06 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/05 | McCartney Kessler French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 21/05 | Sofia Costoulas French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Despina Papamichail French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katie Volynets vs Hanyu Guo?
Our model gives 74% to Katie Volynets, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.