Prediction: Marie Bouzkova vs Maja Chwalinska
Team pages: Marie Bouzkova · Maja Chwalinska
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Bouzkova
Maja Chwalinska
Estimated games
20.8Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Bouzkova
6-4 (W-L)
Maja Chwalinska
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Bouzkova 1541 · Maja Chwalinska 1509
| Marie Bouzkova | Maja Chwalinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 62% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Marie Bouzkova | Maja Chwalinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.8 | 9.9-8.5 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 51.5% | 63.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8 · Bet365 line 20.5
Over 20.5: 52% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 48% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Bouzkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 03/10 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Sonay Kartal Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 05/09 | Iga Swiatek US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/09 | Harriet Dart US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Elsa Jacquemot US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Iva Jovic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Maja Chwalinska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Mayar Sherif WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Elise Mertens WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/09 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Taylor Townsend US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Bouzkova vs Maja Chwalinska?
Our model gives 59% to Marie Bouzkova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.