Prediction: Elina Svitolina vs Ludmilla Samsonova
Team pages: Elina Svitolina · Ludmilla Samsonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Elina Svitolina
Ludmilla Samsonova
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Elina Svitolina
6-4 (W-L)
Ludmilla Samsonova
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elina Svitolina
1–0
Ludmilla Samsonova
(1 last)
- 23 Jun2-1 15-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elina Svitolina 1542 · Ludmilla Samsonova 1529
| Elina Svitolina | Ludmilla Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Elina Svitolina 1–0 Ludmilla Samsonova (1).
- Note: Ludmilla Samsonova makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Elina Svitolina | Ludmilla Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.5-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10.4 | 13.8-13.6 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 67% |
| Break % | 62.6% | 52.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +3.3
Over 20.5: 72% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 28% · 1.83
H2H · Elina Svitolina 1 – 0 Ludmilla Samsonova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elina Svitolina 1–0 Ludmilla Samsonova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/26 WTA Bad Homburg | 2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elina Svitolina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Ann Li WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Maria Sakkari WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/10 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 27/09 | Linda Noskova Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Jasmine Paolini Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Greet Minnen Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 05/09 | Anna Kalinskaya US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/09 | Maya Joint US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 31/08 | Solana Sierra US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Ludmilla Samsonova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 04/10 | Karolina Muchova WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 19/09 | Peyton Stearns WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 17/09 | Kayla Day WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 15/09 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Maya Joint US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/08 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elina Svitolina vs Ludmilla Samsonova?
Our model gives 61% to Elina Svitolina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.