Prediction: Iva Jovic vs Dayana Yastremska
Team pages: Iva Jovic · Dayana Yastremska
Prediction summary
Winner
Iva Jovic
Dayana Yastremska
Estimated games
21.7Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Iva Jovic
7-3 (W-L)
Dayana Yastremska
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Iva Jovic 1591 · Dayana Yastremska 1488
| Iva Jovic | Dayana Yastremska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Iva Jovic (rating 1591 vs 1488).
- Iva Jovic is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Dayana Yastremska makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Iva Jovic | Dayana Yastremska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9 | 10.7-12.7 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 53.2% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +2.2
Over 19.5: 65% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 35% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Iva Jovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Iga Swiatek WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Harriet Dart WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Peyton Stearns WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Magdalena Frech WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Coco Gauff US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Alexandra Eala US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 04/09 | Francesca Jones US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Dayana Yastremska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/10 | Sinja Kraus WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Caty McNally WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Janice Tjen WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Aoi Ito Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 17/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Iva Jovic vs Dayana Yastremska?
Our model gives 72% to Iva Jovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.