Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 14/10, 10:00
Prediction: Matthew William Donald vs Marco Furlanetto
Team pages: Matthew William Donald · Marco Furlanetto
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew William Donald
Marco Furlanetto
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew William Donald
6-4 (W-L)
Marco Furlanetto
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew William Donald 1529 · Marco Furlanetto 1537
| Matthew William Donald | Marco Furlanetto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Matthew William Donald makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Matthew William Donald | Marco Furlanetto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.5 | 10.1-7.7 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew William Donald
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Martin Krumich Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Olle Wallin Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/09 | Carles Cordoba Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 13/09 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 07/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Jelle Sels Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Marco Furlanetto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Alessandro Bellifemine M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Toby Martin M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Victor Ryden M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Henri Haupt M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/06 | Eliot Nobel M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 29/04 | Stefan Popovic M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/04 | Giammarco Gandolfi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/04 | Andrea Zanini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew William Donald vs Marco Furlanetto?
Our model gives 70% to Matthew William Donald, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.