Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 13/10, 10:30
Prediction: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Alexander Chang
Team pages: Tommaso Compagnucci · Alexander Chang
Prediction summary
Winner
Tommaso Compagnucci
Alexander Chang
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Tommaso Compagnucci
6-4 (W-L)
Alexander Chang
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tommaso Compagnucci 1528 · Alexander Chang 1522
| Tommaso Compagnucci | Alexander Chang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Tommaso Compagnucci | Alexander Chang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.9 | 12.7-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tommaso Compagnucci
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 17/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Riccardo Carpano Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/08 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 19/08 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Max Dahlin Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Aleksandr Braynin Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Alexander Chang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 07/10 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Filippo Alfano M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Karan Singh M15 Bali |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/09 | Nathan Anthony Barki M15 Bali |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/09 | Leo Borg M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Reece Falck M15 Bali |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 01/09 | Leo Borg M15 Bali |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Mathieu Perchicot ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tommaso Compagnucci vs Alexander Chang?
Our model gives 64% to Tommaso Compagnucci, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.