Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 14/10, 10:00
Prediction: Fausto Tabacco vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Team pages: Fausto Tabacco · Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Prediction summary
Winner
Fausto Tabacco
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Fausto Tabacco
3-7 (W-L)
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fausto Tabacco 1504 · Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 1516
| Fausto Tabacco | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Fausto Tabacco makes many double faults (6/match).
- Note: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Fausto Tabacco | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.7 | 12.2-8.7 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 6 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fausto Tabacco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Alexander Weis M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Jack Anthrop M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Patrick Schoen M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Lui Maxted M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Adria Soriano Barrera M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Edouard Villoslada M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/10 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Burgas |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Jannik Maute M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 10-1 | W |
| 21/09 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Alexander Weis M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Mattias Pisanu M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/09 | Kirill Kivattsev M15 Budapest |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 09/09 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Budapest |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Marko Retelj M15 Budapest |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fausto Tabacco vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini?
Our model gives 65% to Fausto Tabacco, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

