Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 14/10, 10:00

Prediction: Fausto Tabacco vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini

Team pages: Fausto Tabacco · Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini

Prediction summary
Winner
65% 35%
Fausto Tabacco Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Fausto Tabacco 3-7 (W-L)
LWWLLLLWLL
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fausto Tabacco 1504 · Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 1516
Fausto TabaccoTobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Our model48%52%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Fausto Tabacco makes many double faults (6/match).
  • Note: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini makes many double faults (5.8/match).

Statistics

Fausto TabaccoTobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.21.5-0.7
Games (G-P)11.1-10.712.2-8.7
Aces1.91.2
Double faults65.8
1st serve %60.6%68.3%
Break %44.9%49.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fausto Tabacco

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Alexander Weis
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 13-12 L
29/09 Daniel Rincon
Challenger Porto · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
28/09 Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Challenger Porto · Hard
2-1 16-7 W
27/09 Rafael Izquierdo Luque
Challenger Porto · Hard
2-1 13-14 W
24/09 Inaki Montes-De La Torre
M25 Setubal
0-2 4-12 L
23/09 Jack Anthrop
M25 Setubal
2-1 18-12 W
20/09 Patrick Schoen
M25 Sintra
0-2 4-12 L
19/09 Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Sintra
2-0 13-7 W
18/09 Lui Maxted
M25 Sintra
2-0 13-8 W
17/09 Adria Soriano Barrera
M25 Sintra
2-1 15-11 W

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/10 Edouard Villoslada
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
08/10 Giannicola Misasi
M15 Burgas
1-2 15-17 L
06/10 Jannik Maute
M15 Burgas
2-0 10-1 W
21/09 Lorenzo Carboni
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
16/09 Alexander Weis
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
15/09 Gabriele Crivellaro
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
14/09 Mattias Pisanu
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
10/09 Kirill Kivattsev
M15 Budapest
2-1 18-17 W
09/09 Vincent Dullinger
M15 Budapest
2-0 13-9 W
08/09 Marko Retelj
M15 Budapest
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fausto Tabacco vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini?

Our model gives 65% to Fausto Tabacco, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.