Prediction: Karolina Muchova vs Caty McNally
Team pages: Karolina Muchova · Caty McNally
Prediction summary
Winner
Karolina Muchova
Caty McNally
Estimated games
21.5Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Karolina Muchova
6-4 (W-L)
Caty McNally
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Karolina Muchova
1–1
Caty McNally
(2 last)
- 06 Oct1-2 8-15L
- 01 Feb2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karolina Muchova 1564 · Caty McNally 1534
| Karolina Muchova | Caty McNally | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 76% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Caty McNally makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Karolina Muchova | Caty McNally | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.6 | 12-10.8 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +2
Over 19.5: 64% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 36% · 1.83
H2H · Karolina Muchova 1 – 1 Caty McNally (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Karolina Muchova 1–1 Caty McNally
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/22 WTA Ostrava | 1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 01/02/21 WTA Gippsland Trophy | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karolina Muchova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Naomi Osaka WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 04/10 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/10 | Katie Boulter WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Anhelina Kalinina Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Emma Navarro US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Katie Boulter US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 31/08 | Sinja Kraus US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/07 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Caty McNally
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 11/10 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 10/10 | Yue Yuan WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Emma Navarro US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Anouk Koevermans US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | McCartney Kessler WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Linda Noskova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karolina Muchova vs Caty McNally?
Our model gives 66% to Karolina Muchova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.