Prediction: Magdalena Frech vs Iga Swiatek
Team pages: Magdalena Frech · Iga Swiatek
Prediction summary
Winner
Magdalena Frech
Iga Swiatek
Estimated games
20.7Bet365 line 17.5
Recent form · 10 last
Magdalena Frech
5-5 (W-L)
Iga Swiatek
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Magdalena Frech
0–1
Iga Swiatek
(1 last)
- 27 Jul0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Magdalena Frech 1510 · Iga Swiatek 1601
| Magdalena Frech | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Iga Swiatek (rating 1510 vs 1601).
- Head-to-head: Magdalena Frech 0–1 Iga Swiatek (1).
Statistics
| Magdalena Frech | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.3 | 12.3-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 30.5% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7 · Bet365 line 17.5 · +3.2
Over 17.5: 71% · 1.72
Under 17.5: 29% · 2.00
H2H · Magdalena Frech 0 – 1 Iga Swiatek (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Magdalena Frech 0–1 Iga Swiatek
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/22 WTA Warsaw | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Magdalena Frech
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/10 | Aoi Ito WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 17/09 | Iva Jovic WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Caroline Dolehide WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Nao Hibino WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Iva Jovic US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Iga Swiatek
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Elise Mertens WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Iva Jovic WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/10 | Donna Vekic WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 03/10 | Xinyu Gao WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Qinwen Zheng US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Marie Bouzkova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Nadia Podoroska US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Xiyu Wang US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/08 | Diane Parry WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Magdalena Frech vs Iga Swiatek?
Our model gives 77% to Iga Swiatek, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.