Prediction: Sonay Kartal vs Belinda Bencic
Team pages: Sonay Kartal · Belinda Bencic
Prediction summary
Winner
Sonay Kartal
Belinda Bencic
Estimated games
21.9Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sonay Kartal
6-4 (W-L)
Belinda Bencic
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sonay Kartal 1559 · Belinda Bencic 1543
| Sonay Kartal | Belinda Bencic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Belinda Bencic makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Sonay Kartal | Belinda Bencic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.6 | 13.2-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 46.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.4
Over 20.5: 59% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 41% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sonay Kartal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/10 | Alina Charaeva WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Xinyu Wang WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Marie Bouzkova Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 10/03 | Madison Keys WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/03 | Emma Navarro WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/03 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/02 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Dubai · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/02 | Storm Hunter WTA Dubai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Belinda Bencic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Ann Li WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Yulia Putintseva US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 05/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Anna Kalinskaya Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/07 | Xinyu Wang Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sonay Kartal vs Belinda Bencic?
Our model gives 56% to Belinda Bencic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.