Prediction: Ashlyn Krueger vs Shuai Zhang
Team pages: Ashlyn Krueger · Shuai Zhang
Prediction summary
Winner
Ashlyn Krueger
Shuai Zhang
Estimated games
20.2Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ashlyn Krueger
3-7 (W-L)
Shuai Zhang
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ashlyn Krueger
1–1
Shuai Zhang
(2 last)
- 05 Jan1-2 15-17L
- 27 Aug2-1 13-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ashlyn Krueger 1468 · Shuai Zhang 1478
| Ashlyn Krueger | Shuai Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ashlyn Krueger makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Ashlyn Krueger | Shuai Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-10.2 | 8.8-9.7 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 1 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 46.9% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -2.3
Over 22.5: 34% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 66% · 1.80
H2H · Ashlyn Krueger 1 – 1 Shuai Zhang (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ashlyn Krueger 1–1 Shuai Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/26 WTA Brisbane | 1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/08/24 US Open Women | 2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ashlyn Krueger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Taylah Preston WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/10 | Ann Li WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Sofia Kenin WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Amanda Anisimova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Julia Grabher WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Anna Frey WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Lois Boisson WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Katie Boulter WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Shuai Zhang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Xiyu Wang Asian Games |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Yulia Putintseva Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/08 | Leylah Annie Fernandez US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Ann Li WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Kayla Day WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 07/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ashlyn Krueger vs Shuai Zhang?
Our model gives 54% to Ashlyn Krueger, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.