Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 12/10, 12:30
Prediction: Ivan Ivanov vs Gabriele Crivellaro
Team pages: Ivan Ivanov · Gabriele Crivellaro
Prediction summary
Winner
Ivan Ivanov
Gabriele Crivellaro
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Ivanov
6-4 (W-L)
Gabriele Crivellaro
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Ivanov 1541 · Gabriele Crivellaro 1498
| Ivan Ivanov | Gabriele Crivellaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ivan Ivanov (rating 1541 vs 1498).
Statistics
| Ivan Ivanov | Gabriele Crivellaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.9 | 10.8-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Ivanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Daniel Michalski M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 09/10 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Manuel Mazza M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Maximus Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Ryan Peniston Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Gabriele Crivellaro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Alexander Weis M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Dimitar Kisimov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/09 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Daniele Minighini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Manuel Mazza M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Marcello Serafini M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Ivanov vs Gabriele Crivellaro?
Our model gives 68% to Ivan Ivanov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.