Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 13/10, 10:00

Prediction: Eric Vanshelboim vs Giuseppe La Vela

Team pages: Eric Vanshelboim · Giuseppe La Vela

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Eric Vanshelboim Giuseppe La Vela
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Eric Vanshelboim 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWWLWLWL
Giuseppe La Vela 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWWLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eric Vanshelboim 1540 · Giuseppe La Vela 1469
Eric VanshelboimGiuseppe La Vela
Our model60%40%
Market51%49%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eric Vanshelboim (rating 1540 vs 1469).

Statistics

Eric VanshelboimGiuseppe La Vela
Win %60%40%
Win % · Clay 67% (9) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91-1.3
Games (G-P)10.2-9.710.9-12.1
Aces0.32.8
Double faults1.71.3
1st serve %57.2%68.9%
Break %46.8%35%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eric Vanshelboim

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/09 Daniel Michalski
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
24/09 Gianmarco Ferrari
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
23/09 Pietro Marino
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-1 13-10 W
21/09 Valerio Bracci
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
18/09 Max Hans Rehberg
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
17/09 Sebastiano Cocola
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
16/09 Tymur Bieldiugin
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
15/09 Samuele Seghetti
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
01/09 Calvin Hemery
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 8-15 L
30/08 Louis Wessels
M25 Oldenzaal
0-2 6-13 L

Giuseppe La Vela

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/10 Kalin Ivanovski
Challenger Palermo · Clay
1-2 15-17 L
27/09 John Sperle
Challenger Bari · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
24/09 Jay Clarke
Challenger Genoa · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
22/09 Giovanni Oradini
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-0 14-12 W
15/09 Carlo Alberto Caniato
Challenger Biella · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
14/09 Federico Iannaccone
Challenger Biella · Clay
2-1 16-17 W
13/09 Stefano D'Agostino
Challenger Biella · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
07/09 Maximo Zeitune
Challenger Genoa · Clay
1-2 14-18 L
06/09 Alessio Vigoriti
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
30/08 Lorenzo Rottoli
Challenger Como · Clay
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eric Vanshelboim vs Giuseppe La Vela?

Our model gives 55% to Eric Vanshelboim, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.