Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Kirill Kivattsev vs Johan Nikles
Team pages: Kirill Kivattsev · Johan Nikles
Prediction summary
Winner
Kirill Kivattsev
Johan Nikles
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Kirill Kivattsev
6-4 (W-L)
Johan Nikles
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kirill Kivattsev 1445 · Johan Nikles 1553
| Kirill Kivattsev | Johan Nikles | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Johan Nikles (rating 1445 vs 1553).
- Johan Nikles is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kirill Kivattsev | Johan Nikles | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12 | 11.1-8.6 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kirill Kivattsev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Ivan Ivanov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 15/09 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M15 Budapest |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 09/09 | Vladislav Melnic M15 Budapest |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/08 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Poznan |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 26/08 | Leonardo Iemmi M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/08 | Frederic Schlossmann M25 Slovenj Gradec |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Alex Ganchev M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Johan Nikles
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Miguel Damas Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Vladyslav Orlov Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Martim Bernardo Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Laslo Djere Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Matyas Cerny Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/09 | Matej Dodig Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Olle Wallin Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kirill Kivattsev vs Johan Nikles?
Our model gives 71% to Johan Nikles, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.