Prediction: Caty McNally vs Yulia Starodubtsewa
Team pages: Caty McNally · Yulia Starodubtsewa
Prediction summary
Winner
Caty McNally
Yulia Starodubtsewa
Estimated games
22.7Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Caty McNally
6-4 (W-L)
Yulia Starodubtsewa
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Caty McNally
1–0
Yulia Starodubtsewa
(1 last)
- 09 Mar2-1 17-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caty McNally 1538 · Yulia Starodubtsewa 1475
| Caty McNally | Yulia Starodubtsewa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Caty McNally (rating 1538 vs 1475).
- Head-to-head: Caty McNally 1–0 Yulia Starodubtsewa (1).
- Note: Caty McNally makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Caty McNally | Yulia Starodubtsewa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.5 | 10.8-12 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 54% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +2.2
Over 20.5: 65% · 1.80
Under 20.5: 35% · 1.90
H2H · Caty McNally 1 – 0 Yulia Starodubtsewa (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Caty McNally 1–0 Yulia Starodubtsewa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/26 WTA Austin | 2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caty McNally
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 10/10 | Yue Yuan WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Emma Navarro US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Anouk Koevermans US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | McCartney Kessler WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Linda Noskova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Yulia Starodubtsewa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Alina Charaeva WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 06/09 | Elena Rybakina US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Maria Sakkari US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 01/09 | Ella Seidel US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Elise Mertens WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Janice Tjen WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Lilli Tagger WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Daria Snigur WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Maya Joint WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Sloane Stephens WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caty McNally vs Yulia Starodubtsewa?
Our model gives 60% to Caty McNally, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.