Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 12/10, 06:00
Prediction: Arthur Fils vs Botic Van De Zandschulp
Team pages: Arthur Fils · Botic Van De Zandschulp
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Fils
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Estimated games
24.9Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Fils
8-2 (W-L)
Botic Van De Zandschulp
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Arthur Fils
1–0
Botic Van De Zandschulp
(1 last)
- 16 May2-1 16-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Fils 1602 · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1570
| Arthur Fils | Botic Van De Zandschulp | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Arthur Fils dominates on serve: 8 aces and 52.1% break avg.
- Botic Van De Zandschulp dominates on serve: 8 aces and 43.5% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Arthur Fils 1–0 Botic Van De Zandschulp (1).
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Arthur Fils | Botic Van De Zandschulp | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.8 | 1.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-9.8 | 15.7-15.8 |
| Aces | 8 | 8 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 75.1% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.9 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +3.4
Over 21.5: 73% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 27% · 1.90
H2H · Arthur Fils 1 – 0 Botic Van De Zandschulp (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arthur Fils 1–0 Botic Van De Zandschulp
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/24 Challenger Bordeaux | 2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Fils
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Pavel Kotov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/10 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 02/10 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Luca Van Assche ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Martin Damm ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 17-23 | L |
| 23/08 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Botic Van De Zandschulp
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Alex Michelsen ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 01/10 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 29/09 | Jie Cui ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Valentin Royer ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Davis Cup |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 8-19 | L |
| 07/09 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 29-29 | W |
| 05/09 | Zizou Bergs US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 27-27 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Fils vs Botic Van De Zandschulp?
Our model gives 67% to Arthur Fils, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.