Tennis · WTA Wuhan · 11/10, 06:30

Prediction: Maria Camila Osorio vs Katie Volynets

Team pages: Maria Camila Osorio · Katie Volynets

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Maria Camila Osorio Katie Volynets
Estimated games
21.3Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Camila Osorio 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLWLLWLL
Katie Volynets 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLWWWWLW
Head-to-head
Maria Camila Osorio 1–0 Katie Volynets (1 last)
  • 17 Nov2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maria Camila Osorio 1479 · Katie Volynets 1554
Maria Camila OsorioKatie Volynets
Our model39%61%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katie Volynets (rating 1479 vs 1554).
  • Katie Volynets is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Maria Camila Osorio 1–0 Katie Volynets (1).
  • Note: Maria Camila Osorio makes many double faults (5.9/match).

Statistics

Maria Camila OsorioKatie Volynets
Win %40%70%
Win % · Hard 40% (10) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1-1.31.6-0.6
Games (G-P)10.8-11.911.8-8.6
Aces1.60.7
Double faults5.90.6
1st serve %61.9%60.5%
Break %43.6%41.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +0.8
Over 20.5: 56% · 1.83 Under 20.5: 44% · 1.83

H2H · Maria Camila Osorio 1 – 0 Katie Volynets (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Camila Osorio 1–0 Katie Volynets

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DateSetsGamesRes.
17/11/18
ITF Women Norman
2-012-6W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maria Camila Osorio

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/10 Tyra Caterina Grant
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
03/10 Coco Gauff
WTA Beijing · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
01/10 Lanlana Tararudee
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
31/08 Aryna Sabalenka
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
24/08 Ann Li
WTA Monterrey · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
13/08 Taylor Townsend
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 12-15 L
04/08 Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
02/08 Lucrezia Stefanini
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
29/07 Anastasia Zakharova
WTA Memphis · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
28/07 Storm Hunter
WTA Memphis · Hard
2-0 14-10 W

Katie Volynets

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/10 Polina Kudermetova
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
03/10 Elise Mertens
WTA Beijing · Hard
1-2 11-17 L
01/10 Robin Montgomery
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 14-10 W
26/09 Kimberly Birrell
WTA Seoul · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
23/09 Kamilla Rakhimova
WTA Seoul · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
21/09 Elvina Kalieva
WTA Seoul · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
31/08 Linda Noskova
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
29/08 Tereza Valentova
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
29/08 Oksana Selekhmeteva
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
28/08 Mananchaya Sawangkaew
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maria Camila Osorio vs Katie Volynets?

Our model gives 59% to Katie Volynets, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.