Prediction: Katie Boulter vs Diana Shnaider
Team pages: Katie Boulter · Diana Shnaider
Prediction summary
Winner
Katie Boulter
Diana Shnaider
Estimated games
20.9Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Katie Boulter
4-6 (W-L)
Diana Shnaider
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Katie Boulter
0–2
Diana Shnaider
(2 last)
- 12 Jun1-2 11-14L
- 03 Nov0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katie Boulter 1464 · Diana Shnaider 1553
| Katie Boulter | Diana Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diana Shnaider (rating 1464 vs 1553).
- Diana Shnaider is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Katie Boulter 0–2 Diana Shnaider (2).
- Note: Katie Boulter makes many double faults (7.1/match).
Statistics
| Katie Boulter | Diana Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-12.3 | 11.1-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 7.1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 34.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +1.4
Over 19.5: 59% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 41% · 1.83
H2H · Katie Boulter 0 – 2 Diana Shnaider (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katie Boulter 0–2 Diana Shnaider
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/25 WTA Queens | 1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/11/24 WTA Hong Kong | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katie Boulter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Karolina Muchova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Mai Hontama WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Linda Noskova Billie Jean King Cup · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Karolina Muchova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 15/08 | Linda Noskova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Katie Volynets WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Kayla Cross WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Diana Shnaider
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 02/10 | Janice Tjen WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Taylor Townsend US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Karolina Pliskova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Daria Snigur US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katie Boulter vs Diana Shnaider?
Our model gives 68% to Diana Shnaider, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.