Prediction: Jasmine Paolini vs Sara Bejlek
Team pages: Jasmine Paolini · Sara Bejlek
Prediction summary
Winner
Jasmine Paolini
Sara Bejlek
Estimated games
21.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jasmine Paolini
7-3 (W-L)
Sara Bejlek
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jasmine Paolini 1507 · Sara Bejlek 1512
| Jasmine Paolini | Sara Bejlek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Jasmine Paolini | Sara Bejlek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.5 | 11.4-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 51.1% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1
Over 22.5: 43% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 57% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jasmine Paolini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Daria Snigur WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 26/09 | Elina Svitolina Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Qinwen Zheng Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Sorana Cirstea US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Lucrezia Stefanini US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Veronika Erjavec US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Alexandra Eala Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 04/07 | Maria Sakkari Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Viktorija Golubic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Sara Bejlek
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Naomi Osaka WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Maddison Inglis WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Alycia Parks WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Cristina Bucsa US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 23/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Madison Keys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 20/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 16/08 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jasmine Paolini vs Sara Bejlek?
Our model gives 50% to Jasmine Paolini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.